A mathematical model and forecast for the coronavirus disease COVID-19 in Ukraine

  • actual trajectories of the main indicators of the coronavirus epidemic in Ukraine;
  • calculated trajectories of these indicators;
  • boundaries of confidence intervals (ranges of possible deviations of the point 10-day forecast (for the period from June 7 to 16) with a significance level of p = 0.01.
  • actual trajectories of mortality rates I (TC) and I (CC) for the entire observation period;
  • actual trajectory of the IP progress indicator for the entire observation period;
  • calculated trajectories of these mortality rates for a period including the observation period and the 30-day lead time for this forecast;
  • calculated trajectory of the progress indicator for a period, including the observation period and the 30-day lead-time period.

--

--

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store
IMPEER of the NAS of Ukraine

IMPEER of the NAS of Ukraine

12 Followers

Official page of the state scientific institution Institute of Market Problems and Economic-Ecological Research of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine